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Compliance with the World Concert

In a note to Iranian diplomacy, Pirooz Ghofrani, former head of the Foreign Ministry’s First West Asia Office and a specialist on strategic issues, emphasizes that the key element to be added to the value system and behavioral function of all countries and political systems is the serious determination and efforts of leaders. They are to achieve harmony with the world concert.

In a concert, everyone plays their own instrument. Each instrument has its own sound. But it is the harmony of the members of a concert and the timely playing of each note that will ensure the beauty and pleasantness of the output song. In a concert, playing a small instrument has the same effect on the beauty of the work as playing a band playing the same instrument. Conversely, if an instrument plays outside, as the saying goes, the whole concert is ruined.

In its mystical sense, the life of beings in the world is also a concert. The sound of water splashing, the sound of birds, the breeze and so on, each have a role in beautifying this concert. Although different components play different roles in the world system or system, it is only global harmony that can lead the future of the world to the salvation of mankind.

For centuries, the great powers have tried to write the notes of this world symphony and be the leader of this orchestra. The history of human life, whether in the absence of civilization and the semi-wild life of humanity or in the time when great and small civilizations came into being, has been filled with the efforts of this or that people to conquer and rule in a larger realm and dominate the rest. Few kingdoms (except the characters of the Prophet such as Cyrus the Great) have made a kingdom over others subject to the will of the people under their rule. Almost the majority of the great world powers have always tried to impose their values ​​on others and to consider their values ​​higher than the values ​​of other nations. This notion, which means knowing the values ​​of one’s own nation, race and culture higher than other ethnic groups, has been one of the reasons and sources of ethnic disputes and wars throughout history.

But for some time now, new technologies, especially communication and information technologies, and the ease of exchange and acquaintance with other nations and civilizations, and the possibility of comfortable travel around the world, have created the ground for the wise to conclude that the truths of the universe are all One nation does not descend, and each nation, according to its talents and capabilities, has found its way to a part of the truth.

That is, we see that one nation has achieved the best concept of economy and social justice, and another nation has achieved the best understanding of peaceful coexistence. One nation has achieved the best ways to reduce corruption and better governance, and another nation seeks peace in fulfilling its social responsibility to create a world free of war, poverty and domination. A concept called Multiculturalism has grown among travelers and diplomats. The concept that shows that every culture has its beauties and flaws, and the image of an ideal society and pure truth should be created only by searching in all cultures and a variety of beauties of each.

But the embodiment of this image of an ideal global society is now being pursued by great people from all countries and transnational thinkers. In the form of international institutions such as the United Nations and projects defined to standardize behaviors and values, and in the form of non-governmental organizations that pursue this ideal to enlighten public opinion and align the public opinion of nations. Importantly, based on research based on futures research methods, the probabilities of the scenarios proposed in this paradigm over the continuation of the traditional behaviors of the current regimes and the current ruling system of the world are very high.

Behavioral function of systems

Every system or system has a behavioral function. The form and nature of this behavioral function will vary according to the components of the system, the size and extent of the impact of each component and the relationships between the components of the system. In other words, a system exhibits a reaction or behavior in exchange for input signals that will correspond to its behavioral function. It is obvious that the value system of a system also plays a role in the form of internal relations of its components and its size and importance, and this value system ultimately shows itself in the behavioral function of the system.

Now, if the system of a country, a system and the developments of the international and regional environment are considered as an input signal to this system, it can be acknowledged that each system responds to the changes in the environment and events that occur in the international arena. It reacts to its own pattern of behavior that corresponds to its behavioral function. This fact is used and the great powers try to apply input signals to different systems and systems to direct them to their desired behavior and reaction. The application of this concept in politics itself is a complex and detailed category that does not fit in this article.

The behavioral function of systems can be interpreted with complex mathematical equations. It is claimed that mathematical equations are able to simulate the behavior of a system and predict its reactions to various input signals using the scientific advances made in the field of systems behavior analysis. Or at least estimate the behavioral options facing the system and enumerate different reaction scenarios.

A systemic approach to phenomena and problems, and what is known as systems dynamics, and which is strongly associated with the fundamentals of mathematical science, seeks to identify the behavioral patterns of a system without showing its pervasive mathematical relationships. Political systems or systems are no exception to this rule. Where behaviors are considered rational, the reaction of political systems or systems is easier to predict, and if systemic behavior is likely to be irrational, it can be predicted by scripting and predicting multiple reactions or options. Identify and estimate the probability of occurrence of each scenario or the adoption of an option.

Political systems, like many other systems, seek to reach equilibrium faster in the face of peripheral developments. A balance that has certain assumptions and maintaining survival is one of the main ones. When determining the main behavioral pattern of a system, it is tried to determine the main reasons for the behavior of a system in relation to changes and input signals from the environment by discovering the causal links. This will help identify the optimal equilibrium points of a system for different input signals and its behavioral responses.

Application of the concept of systemic balance in the international system

Undoubtedly, the current balance governing the international system is not a natural balance, and if the pressures and games are removed from the scene, the balance will be formed in different ways and in different regions and in different places. In fact, the current balance governing the international system is the result of the forces of the poles of power in the international system, and from a systemic point of view, we can say that this balance is temporary and transient in many parts of the world and on various issues. As mentioned in previous articles, issues such as the world financial system, energy system, security system, political system, etc. all need to reach new equilibrium points and are now in an abnormal equilibrium.

It has been said that the behavior of a system depends on elements such as the number and nature of its components, the magnitude of the impact of the components, and the relationship between the components. Each of the actors or actors on the international scene, in terms of the importance they have in their region or in the world, and factors such as political power, economic size, geopolitical position, etc., can be effective in creating a regional or global balance. The position of countries on the world stage also depends on the correct knowledge of the leaders of these countries from the ruling systems and the definition of the appropriate role in compliance with the global equilibrium system.

For example, the political power of a government goes back to the extent to which the people support the government. A popular power, compared to a minority government, can certainly bargain better and define a higher position for itself in the region and the world. Looking at the countries of the region and the world scene, it is easy to understand which governments are in the minority, for example, and in order to maintain their position and continue their rule, they need to use force, even in the form of assistance from foreign forces.

It goes without saying that maintaining an unstable balance in different countries and regions is also costly for world powers. It can be proved by mathematical equations that the share of all actors in the natural equilibrium will be greater. What is more, in an unstable equilibrium situation, a large part of global capital is spent eliminating competitors’ efforts to maintain an unstable equilibrium. It is obvious that in this case, although a great world power or actor will be victorious in the field of imbalance in one place, but in the end, the loser of this unstable system will be in another place. The debate over control and reduction of arms races and the global effort to avoid them stemmed from the realization that everyone is a loser in an arms race.

It is easy to show that the current balance in the world is unstable. Over the last few hundred years, support for minority rule in many countries, support for political and economic mafia rule, support for extremist and extremist approaches, and the creation of small and large wars or proxies by this or that world power have always been on the agenda. It has been work. Everyone has paid for this kind of interaction in managing the world. But it is clear to everyone, and even to the great powers themselves, that these moves have added to the conflict day by day and have not brought a lasting balance to the international system.

The international community and the great powers must conclude that in a fair and equitable system, everyone’s interests will be served and the world will reach a lasting balance. In this system, democracies will replace totalitarian individual governments. In this system, the rights of minorities will also be kept in balance. Instead of defining themselves as spheres of influence of this or that world power, nations will define their place in the world system in a form that is synergistic for humanity. And human beings will think of bigger concerns such as poverty, hunger, human dignity, and so on.

It is time for a world concert to be played with the participation of all its actors and actors. This concert does not have a single leader. It is the international standards that write the notes of this concert and it is the work of the team that forms the basis of this harmony. The enormous efforts that have been made in Europe over the last three decades to create a united Europe have brought valuable experience to humanity, that it can be managed by teamwork without the need for a unified world leadership.

For more than two decades, the United Nations has been compiling the literature on the future of the international system in a major project called Shaping the Global Future. But the reality is that the efforts of the United Nations and the international community will not bear fruit unless there is a determination in the world powers to move away from the status quo ante and think of a lasting balance.

There is a stark difference between the interests of the international community and the traditional interests of the world. The world community can not and should not be considered a subset of the great powers or under the domination of the domination system. Many of the world’s ruling regimes are independent and domineering. Experience has shown that a country that prioritizes helping to create a lasting balance in regional and global arenas will be considered and supported by the international community. This requires transparency, fairness, equal pay and goodwill.

Although in the current world system different actors pursue different goals or currents, the majority are with countries that seek to establish a balanced and benevolent military in the world. Therefore, a key element that should be added to the value system and behavioral function of all countries and political systems is the serious determination and efforts of their leaders to achieve compliance with the World Concert.

Author

talayeh.ghofrani

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